Winner and Why
Before you make your pick, ask yourself, “Do I think Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. has changed?” Is he more determined with Joe Goossen?” It’s the number one deciding factor in the fight, because if Chavez is in shape and can continuously pressure Fonfara, he will have a clear advantage in what should be an exciting war of attrition.
It is true, Chavez vs. Fonfara has a good chance of being a high action fight between two big guys who don’t do a lot of running. It will be Chavez on the attack and Fonfara fighting off the pressure. Both guys are proven tough, and both are fighting with a hell of a lot on the line.
I don’t think we’ll ever again see the Chavez Jr. who beat Sebastian Zbik, Peter Manfredo Jr., Marco Antonio Rubio, and Andy Lee between 2011-2012, but I do think we’ll see an older, more mature fighter enter the ring with his career on the line, and his daughter on his mind.
[otw_shortcode_quote border=”bordered” border_style=”bordered”]“Going to Lake Tahoe and really working hard is a sign of maturity and I think that’s what Julio is going through right now. He really showed it by leaving his home and spending an extended period of time up there. To me that is a great indicator that he is mature, dedicated and taking this fight very seriously.” – Joe Goossen on Chavez’s maturity.[/otw_shortcode_quote]
I see Chavez controlling the fight by keeping the action out of the center of the ring. By using constant aggression to dictate Fonfara’s positioning, he will be able to work his way inside the reach of Fonfara by taking punches and using his athletic advantage. Once Chavez is in the pocket he’ll be able to produce a high punch output to Fonfara’s body, and set up combinations to the head.
Fonfara doesn’t possess the type of power to hurt Chavez and doesn’t have the speed to move away from danger. There’s really nothing Fonfara will be able to do to keep Chavez out of his chest. It will however be pivotal for Chavez to pace himself, because even a fighter in good shape can punch himself out if he doesn’t control his output.
Expect a close and competitive fight, and in these cases I tend to lean towards the aggressor, that’s Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.
Check out All Access with Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. right here on RoundByRoundBoxing.com:
